Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.568939 0.648831 0.734787 0.834007 0.945239 1.065947 1.206711
2025-05-25 0.453999 0.564722 0.693236 0.852839 1.045111 1.268612 1.547395
2025-06-01 0.369477 0.498250 0.658542 0.871307 1.144702 1.482424 1.929192
2025-06-08 0.298164 0.434119 0.614866 0.870086 1.218027 1.672174 2.305462
2025-06-15 0.252260 0.394334 0.595002 0.894735 1.325665 1.916334 2.779063
2025-06-22 0.207470 0.347394 0.556851 0.886863 1.385605 2.101032 3.191567
2025-06-29 0.177112 0.316183 0.535862 0.899316 1.474019 2.332774 3.692542
2025-07-06 0.146418 0.278466 0.498347 0.879826 1.509868 2.488716 4.095491
2025-07-13 0.130882 0.263408 0.494662 0.912985 1.630613 2.783756 4.736154
2025-07-20 0.118082 0.250770 0.492770 0.947994 1.756957 3.097921 5.433698
2025-07-27 0.104224 0.233480 0.479735 0.961056 1.846233 3.358258 6.064798
2025-08-03 0.091288 0.215538 0.462575 0.963721 1.916314 3.590954 6.667422
2025-08-10 0.079517 0.198075 0.444202 0.962519 1.980767 3.822582 7.293933
2025-08-17 0.069875 0.183400 0.429170 0.965701 2.053480 4.075090 7.978708
2025-08-24 0.062062 0.171367 0.417760 0.974499 2.137583 4.355199 8.735960
2025-08-31 0.054002 0.157067 0.399153 0.965548 2.184961 4.570207 9.390058
2025-09-07 0.049140 0.149823 0.395244 0.987626 2.297589 4.918594 10.321587
2025-09-14 0.042839 0.137415 0.377290 0.975812 2.337365 5.127228 10.999833
2025-09-21 0.038643 0.129903 0.369955 0.987300 2.428162 5.444578 11.914399
2025-09-28 0.033329 0.117938 0.349491 0.964760 2.440913 5.602954 12.522115
2025-10-05 0.031221 0.115198 0.352516 0.999923 2.587855 6.052156 13.754116
2025-10-12 0.029370 0.112866 0.356277 1.037346 2.743566 6.531513 15.081287
2025-10-19 0.026804 0.107610 0.351135 1.051134 2.844483 6.899838 16.199723